TOL

TOLL BROTHERS INC

Consumer Cyclical | Large Cap

$2.15

EPS Forecast

$1,932

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-04-30

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.15

Revenue Forecast:

$1,932

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.101

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$89

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

79%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

93%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

76%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

3%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.10

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.30

Revenue standard deviation:

$90

As % of share price:

0.19% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.62% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.56

Revenue 95th %ile:

$2,058

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.26

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,966

EPS 25th %ile:

$2.07

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,902

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.86

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,828

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

14% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$11

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.17