PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.28

Revenue Forecast:

$10.02

EPS Surprise Forecast:

-$0.008

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Low

Post-release Overnight Move:

±2.8%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

72%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

65%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

51%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

15%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.34

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.07

Revenue standard deviation:

As % of share price:

0.45% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.81% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.36

Revenue 95th %ile:

$11

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.30

Revenue 75th %ile:

$10

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.25

Revenue 25th %ile:

$10

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.18

Revenue 5th %ile:

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

38% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

21% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$100

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.16