NVS

NOVARTIS AG

Healthcare | Mega Cap

$2.20

EPS Forecast

$13,652

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.20

Revenue Forecast:

$13,652

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.081

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$35

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

83%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

57%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

52%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

12%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.78

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.22

Revenue standard deviation:

$365

As % of share price:

0.15% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.13% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.55

Revenue 95th %ile:

$14,299

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.29

Revenue 75th %ile:

$13,837

EPS 25th %ile:

$2.15

Revenue 25th %ile:

$13,494

EPS 5th %ile:

$2.03

Revenue 5th %ile:

$13,150

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

46% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

53% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$6

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.08