AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORP Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.48

Revenue Forecast:

$77.59

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.039

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

74%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

66%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

53%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

14%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.34

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.14

Revenue standard deviation:

$12

As % of share price:

1.26% HIGH

As % of market cap:

2.31% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.65

Revenue 95th %ile:

$92

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.53

Revenue 75th %ile:

$81

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.44

Revenue 25th %ile:

$74

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.31

Revenue 5th %ile:

$65

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

21% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$29

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.03