ACGL

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD

Financial Services | Large Cap

$2.72

EPS Forecast

$4,744

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.72

Revenue Forecast:

$4,744

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.242

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$44

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

93%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

75%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

72%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

4%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.08

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.31

Revenue standard deviation:

$126

As % of share price:

0.34% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.38% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$3.17

Revenue 95th %ile:

$4,932

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.84

Revenue 75th %ile:

$4,796

EPS 25th %ile:

$2.64

Revenue 25th %ile:

$4,700

EPS 5th %ile:

$2.43

Revenue 5th %ile:

$4,593

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

43% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

38% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$5

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.045