UNITED FIRE GROUP INC Stock Forecasts | UFCS EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.01

Revenue Forecast:

$368.7

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.143

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.2%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

75%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

56%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

47%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

16%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.46

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.48

Revenue standard deviation:

$27

As % of share price:

1.33% HIGH

As % of market cap:

2.86% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.62

Revenue 95th %ile:

$401

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.18

Revenue 75th %ile:

$377

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.87

Revenue 25th %ile:

$361

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.45

Revenue 5th %ile:

$341

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

37% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

17% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$34

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.12