TOL

TOLL BROTHERS INC

Consumer Cyclical | Large Cap

$5.11

EPS Forecast

$3,581

Revenue Forecast

Announcing earnings for the quarter ending 2026-10-31 soon

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$5.11

Revenue Forecast:

$3,581

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.224

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$78

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.9%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

86%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

89%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

79%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

4%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

4

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.94

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.44

Revenue standard deviation:

$112

As % of share price:

0.28% HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.78% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.72

Revenue 95th %ile:

$3,738

EPS 75th %ile:

$5.27

Revenue 75th %ile:

$3,624

EPS 25th %ile:

$4.99

Revenue 25th %ile:

$3,545

EPS 5th %ile:

$4.67

Revenue 5th %ile:

$3,452

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

16% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$10

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.16