PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.88

Revenue Forecast:

$10,079

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.050

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$98

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

72%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

69%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

56%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

15%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.40

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.25

Revenue standard deviation:

$319

As % of share price:

0.16% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.13% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.27

Revenue 95th %ile:

$10,639

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.98

Revenue 75th %ile:

$10,239

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.82

Revenue 25th %ile:

$9,943

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.67

Revenue 5th %ile:

$9,645

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

46% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

57% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.075