MERCADOLIBRE INC Stock Forecasts | MELI EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$10.56

Revenue Forecast:

$8,557

EPS Surprise Forecast:

-$0.108

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$148

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±9.4%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

53%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

82%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

49%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

13%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-4

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.92

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$4.85

Revenue standard deviation:

$263

As % of share price:

0.29% HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.31% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$17.83

Revenue 95th %ile:

$8,976

EPS 75th %ile:

$12.45

Revenue 75th %ile:

$8,675

EPS 25th %ile:

$9.35

Revenue 25th %ile:

$8,457

EPS 5th %ile:

$6.28

Revenue 5th %ile:

$8,225

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

45% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

42% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$24

Bid-ask per Share:

$4.1