MELI

MERCADOLIBRE INC

Consumer Cyclical | Large Cap

$10.08

EPS Forecast

$11,004

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-12-31

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$10.08

Revenue Forecast:

$11,004

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.667

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$348

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±8.5%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

67%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

89%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

63%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

7%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.93

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$4.69

Revenue standard deviation:

$436

As % of share price:

0.25% HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.46% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$17.14

Revenue 95th %ile:

$11,705

EPS 75th %ile:

$11.91

Revenue 75th %ile:

$11,201

EPS 25th %ile:

$8.92

Revenue 25th %ile:

$10,836

EPS 5th %ile:

$5.97

Revenue 5th %ile:

$10,449

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

45% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

25% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$26

Bid-ask per Share:

$4.7