JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.04

Revenue Forecast:

$2,199

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.090

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$34

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.6%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

70%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

66%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

52%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

15%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.28

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.45

Revenue standard deviation:

$180

As % of share price:

0.97% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.69% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.66

Revenue 95th %ile:

$2,446

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.20

Revenue 75th %ile:

$2,266

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.92

Revenue 25th %ile:

$2,141

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.58

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,994

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

23% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.04