JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.25

Revenue Forecast:

$2,210

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.100

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$63

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.6%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

70%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

74%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

57%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

12%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

2.00

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.51

Revenue standard deviation:

$204

As % of share price:

1.01% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.96% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.95

Revenue 95th %ile:

$2,491

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.43

Revenue 75th %ile:

$2,286

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.11

Revenue 25th %ile:

$2,145

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.73

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,978

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

20% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.045