HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.66

Revenue Forecast:

$216.3

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.128

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±8.2%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

70%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

53%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

43%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

19%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.62

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.58

Revenue standard deviation:

$23

As % of share price:

2.19% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

2.80% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.38

Revenue 95th %ile:

$244

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.85

Revenue 75th %ile:

$224

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.49

Revenue 25th %ile:

$210

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.97

Revenue 5th %ile:

$193

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

38% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

29% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$45

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.11