FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION FANNIE MAE Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.58

Revenue Forecast:

$6,977

EPS Surprise Forecast:

-$0.067

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$275

Post-release price volatility - Very high

Post-release Overnight Move:

±13.4%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

49%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

47%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

28%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

31%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-5

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.38

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.36

Revenue standard deviation:

$1,062

As % of share price:

7.43% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

18.79% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.07

Revenue 95th %ile:

$8,390

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.71

Revenue 75th %ile:

$7,357

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.48

Revenue 25th %ile:

$6,652

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.20

Revenue 5th %ile:

$5,801

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

26% LOW

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

10% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$26

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.01