NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.40

Revenue Forecast:

$1,517

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.018

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$44

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.0%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

58%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

78%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

50%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

14%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.11

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.35

Revenue standard deviation:

$119

As % of share price:

0.67% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.47% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.88

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,680

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.52

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,561

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.30

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,480

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.03

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,383

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

18% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$16

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.08