NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.99

Revenue Forecast:

$1,373

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.091

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$19

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.2%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

72%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

71%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

56%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

13%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.66

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.39

Revenue standard deviation:

$75

As % of share price:

0.66% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.80% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.53

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,477

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.13

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,401

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.88

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,350

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.58

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,288

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

41% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

34% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$14

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.08