AMBP

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA

Consumer Cyclical | Mid Cap

$0.04

EPS Forecast

$1,433

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.04

Revenue Forecast:

$1,433

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.006

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$35

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

64%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

70%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

50%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

16%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.58

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.04

Revenue standard deviation:

$164

As % of share price:

1.05% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

6.83% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.09

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,642

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.05

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,489

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.03

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,385

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.01

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,257

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

37% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

6% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$21

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.01