AGO

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

Financial Services | Mid Cap

$1.69

EPS Forecast

$204.7

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.69

Revenue Forecast:

$204.7

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.195

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$13

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.0%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

74%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

73%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

59%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

12%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.47

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.74

Revenue standard deviation:

$50

As % of share price:

0.90% HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.35% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.66

Revenue 95th %ile:

$269

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.95

Revenue 75th %ile:

$222

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.49

Revenue 25th %ile:

$190

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.89

Revenue 5th %ile:

$150

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

41% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

27% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$17

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.14