FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORP Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$4.53

Revenue Forecast:

$112

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.018

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

54%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

67%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

43%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

22%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.58

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.77

Revenue standard deviation:

As % of share price:

0.55% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.59% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.51

Revenue 95th %ile:

$123

EPS 75th %ile:

$4.79

Revenue 75th %ile:

$115

EPS 25th %ile:

$4.31

Revenue 25th %ile:

$109

EPS 5th %ile:

$3.64

Revenue 5th %ile:

$103

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

41% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$36

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.5