AAOI

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC

Technology | Mid Cap

$0.09

EPS Forecast

$271.2

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-12-31

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.09

Revenue Forecast:

$271.2

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.007

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$2

Post-release price volatility - Very high

Post-release Overnight Move:

±12.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

55%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

59%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

40%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

25%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-5

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

2.00

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.31

Revenue standard deviation:

$22

As % of share price:

0.29% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.24% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.51

Revenue 95th %ile:

$301

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.20

Revenue 75th %ile:

$279

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.00

Revenue 25th %ile:

$264

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.23

Revenue 5th %ile:

$247

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

54% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$11

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.12