PGR

PROGRESSIVE CORP

Financial Services | Mega Cap

$4.85

EPS Forecast

$22,683

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$4.85

Revenue Forecast:

$22,683

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.156

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$35

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.9%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

76%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

58%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

50%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

16%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.00

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.60

Revenue standard deviation:

$368

As % of share price:

0.29% HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.31% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.76

Revenue 95th %ile:

$23,286

EPS 75th %ile:

$5.08

Revenue 75th %ile:

$22,853

EPS 25th %ile:

$4.70

Revenue 25th %ile:

$22,538

EPS 5th %ile:

$4.34

Revenue 5th %ile:

$22,207

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

42% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$5

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.1