PFSI

PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INC

Financial Services | Mid Cap

$2.08

EPS Forecast

$572

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.08

Revenue Forecast:

$572

EPS Surprise Forecast:

-$0.128

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$3

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.0%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

41%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

45%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

25%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

39%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-4

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.23

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.96

Revenue standard deviation:

$43

As % of share price:

1.09% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

0.95% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$3.35

Revenue 95th %ile:

$629

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.42

Revenue 75th %ile:

$587

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.81

Revenue 25th %ile:

$559

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.04

Revenue 5th %ile:

$524

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

42% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

49% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$14

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.13