PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.59

Revenue Forecast:

$227.1

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.027

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

76%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

52%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

45%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

17%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.70

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.09

Revenue standard deviation:

$10

As % of share price:

0.43% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.40% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.70

Revenue 95th %ile:

$241

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.62

Revenue 75th %ile:

$231

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.56

Revenue 25th %ile:

$224

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.49

Revenue 5th %ile:

$216

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

41% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

45% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$11

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.02