PAYX

PAYCHEX INC

Industrials | Large Cap

$1.70

EPS Forecast

$1,781

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.70

Revenue Forecast:

$1,781

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.020

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$4

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.7%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

64%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

49%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

38%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

25%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.78

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.17

Revenue standard deviation:

$90

As % of share price:

0.20% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.29% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.95

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,913

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.76

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,817

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.65

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,750

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.53

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,674

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

45% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

31% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$5

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.045