PARR

PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC

Energy | Mid Cap

$6.96

EPS Forecast

$2,515

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-12-31

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$6.96

Revenue Forecast:

$2,515

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.308

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$149

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±8.7%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

65%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

65%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

47%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

17%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.30

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$2.16

Revenue standard deviation:

$570

As % of share price:

2.46% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

12.98% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$9.81

Revenue 95th %ile:

$3,264

EPS 75th %ile:

$7.72

Revenue 75th %ile:

$2,716

EPS 25th %ile:

$6.36

Revenue 25th %ile:

$2,344

EPS 5th %ile:

$4.62

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,891

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

32% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

6% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$22

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.2