PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC Stock Forecasts | PAG EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$3.24

Revenue Forecast:

$8,050

EPS Surprise Forecast:

-$0.001

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$27

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

53%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

45%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

30%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

32%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.53

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.57

Revenue standard deviation:

$302

As % of share price:

0.39% HIGH

As % of market cap:

3.19% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$4.01

Revenue 95th %ile:

$8,464

EPS 75th %ile:

$3.45

Revenue 75th %ile:

$8,162

EPS 25th %ile:

$3.09

Revenue 25th %ile:

$7,954

EPS 5th %ile:

$2.66

Revenue 5th %ile:

$7,708

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

5% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$19

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.27