ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP INC Stock Forecasts | OBT EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.83

Revenue Forecast:

$34.07

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.045

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Low

Post-release Overnight Move:

±3.9%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

65%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

67%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

49%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

17%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.85

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.28

Revenue standard deviation:

As % of share price:

0.90% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

1.32% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.16

Revenue 95th %ile:

$41

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.92

Revenue 75th %ile:

$36

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.74

Revenue 25th %ile:

$33

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.48

Revenue 5th %ile:

$29

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

40% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

27% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$45

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.14