MUSA

MURPHY USA INC

Consumer Cyclical | Mid Cap

$3.17

EPS Forecast

$4,540

Revenue Forecast

Announcing earnings for the quarter ending 2026-03-31 soon

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$3.17

Revenue Forecast:

$4,540

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.246

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$8

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

72%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

57%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

47%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

17%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.07

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$1.09

Revenue standard deviation:

$110

As % of share price:

0.23% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

1.24% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$4.66

Revenue 95th %ile:

$4,691

EPS 75th %ile:

$3.57

Revenue 75th %ile:

$4,581

EPS 25th %ile:

$2.88

Revenue 25th %ile:

$4,505

EPS 5th %ile:

$2.04

Revenue 5th %ile:

$4,416

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

7% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$22

Bid-ask per Share:

$1