MRK

MERCK & CO INC

Healthcare | Mega Cap

-$0.32

EPS Forecast

$16,256

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

-$0.32

Revenue Forecast:

$16,256

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.252

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$248

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.6%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

75%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

67%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

56%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

14%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.54

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$1.09

Revenue standard deviation:

$913

As % of share price:

0.96% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

0.32% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.41

Revenue 95th %ile:

$17,874

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.12

Revenue 75th %ile:

$16,719

EPS 25th %ile:

-$0.58

Revenue 25th %ile:

$15,862

EPS 5th %ile:

-$1.18

Revenue 5th %ile:

$15,004

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

45% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

100% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$3

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.03