MPC

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

Energy | Large Cap

$2.19

EPS Forecast

$34,498

Revenue Forecast

Announcing earnings for the quarter ending 2026-03-31 soon

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.19

Revenue Forecast:

$34,498

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.662

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$5,566

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.4%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

72%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

69%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

54%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

13%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.20

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$3.19

Revenue standard deviation:

$5,220

As % of share price:

1.35% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

7.51% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$6.93

Revenue 95th %ile:

$42,688

EPS 75th %ile:

$3.42

Revenue 75th %ile:

$36,790

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.39

Revenue 25th %ile:

$32,547

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.67

Revenue 5th %ile:

$27,975

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

37% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

7% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$9

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.21