MDB

MONGODB INC

Technology | Large Cap

$0.37

EPS Forecast

$709.4

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-04-30

MongoDB’s Q4 2026 Report: Atlas Grows, Margin Expands, and the Data Layer Keeps Getting Richer

MDB earnings in focus as the company touts EPS of $0.18 on a GAAP basis and a robust Non-GAAP EPS of $1.65, with revenue of $695.1 million for the fourth quarter. The narrative arrives with the ticker symbol in hand and a clearer picture of how the platform business is funding both growth and margin—topics any investor watching the EPS consensus and revenue forecast would care about.

Fourth Quarter Highlights

  • Revenue: $695.1 million in the quarter, up 27% year over year.
  • Subscription revenue: $673.1 million, up 27% YoY; services revenue $22.0 million, up 26% YoY.
  • Gross profit: $507.7 million; gross margin 73%. Non-GAAP gross profit $524.7 million (75% non‑GAAP gross margin).
  • Income from operations: GAAP $0.3 million; non-GAAP $158.8 million.
  • Net income: $15.5 million, or $0.18 per share (86.5 million diluted shares). Non-GAAP net income $142.7 million, or $1.65 per share.
  • Capital efficiency: Free cash flow of $176.7 million; cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and restricted cash total $2.4 billion as of January 31, 2026. CFO was $179.6 million for the quarter; capex $1.1 million; finance-leases principal payments $1.7 million.
  • Customer base: 65,200+ total customers after adding ~2,700 in the period.
  • Strategic note: Atlas revenue up 29% YoY in both the fourth quarter and the full year; leadership cites “broad-based demand” and ongoing go-to-market execution, including AI-related capabilities like integrated AI agents with search, vector search and embeddings in a single data layer.

Full-Year 2026 and the Growth-Margin Combo

The business delivered a full-year revenue of about $2.46 billion, up roughly 23% year over year, with Atlas continuing to be the growth engine. The Atlas line notched a 29% YoY increase for the full year, underscoring how a database platform with a multi-cloud resilience angle remains attractive to customers seeking scale and reliability in parallel with AI-driven workloads. The year saw continued expansion in the core subscription mix, which dominates MongoDB’s revenue.

Margins, Operating Leverage, and the “Rule of 40”

MongoDB emphasizes a strong margin story alongside growth. The fourth quarter delivered a 73% GAAP gross margin and a 75% non-GAAP gross margin, with non-GAAP operating income of $158.8 million signaling meaningful operating leverage even as the company sustains growth in a competitive software environment. Management highlighted the “rule of 40” performance, a shorthand for balancing growth and profitability, suggesting the company is advancing on both axes rather than choosing between them.

Earnings Per Share, EPS, and the Market’s Pulse

The quarter produced GAAP EPS of $0.18 and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.65, based on ~86.5 million fully diluted shares. Year-ago GAAP EPS stood at $0.19, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.28. The absence of explicit guidance in the release leaves analysts to frame the EPS consensus around net income quality, margin trajectory, and the pace of Atlas adoption versus expectations. The growth cadence suggests the stock could remain sensitive to how well revenue streams—especially subscription—translate into sustained cash flow and whether operators can maintain non-GAAP margin expansion alongside ongoing investment in platform capabilities like AI-enabled features.

AI and the Data Layer: A Practical Upsell

MongoDB frames itself as the connective tissue for AI workloads—vector search, embeddings, and a unified data layer to support “agents” and intelligent apps. This is less a novelty feature and more a positioning maneuver: the platform is sold not just as a database, but as the infrastructure that enables AI-native applications to scale with governance and performance. In investor terms, that translates into aligning the revenue forecast with AI-driven usage patterns, rather than relying solely on traditional transaction volumes.

Implications for MongoDB and Sector Peers

What does this signals for MDB and its software peers? Growth remains tied to the subscription base and cloud-native delivery, but the margin expansion and robust free cash flow provide a cushion for continued investment in product development and go-to-market initiatives. For sector peers, MongoDB’s results reinforce the business model where developers contribute to top-line expansion through platform-native features, while enterprise demand for reliability and multi-cloud resilience sustains mid-single to high-double-digit growth. If the earnings surprise is anything, it’s that margin finesse can accompany rapid revenue growth, at least for a few quarters, when product improvements and customer expansion align.

Capital Allocation and Administrative Footnotes

Liquidity remains ample, with $2.4 billion in cash-related assets on hand. The company generated meaningful operating cash flow in the quarter and kept capital expenditures modest, hinting at a deliberate approach to funding growth without sacrificing liquidity. The ongoing focus on non-GAAP measures and the reconciliation of non-GAAP metrics to GAAP figures remains a reminder that investors should parse the numbers with an eye toward the underlying economics of the business model and the effect of any one-time items or adjustments on reported profitability.

Bottom Line

MongoDB’s Q4 2026 results deliver a clear message: Atlas growth and a disciplined margin strategy can coexist, supported by a cash-generative profile and a platform positioned to ride AI-enabled demand. Ticker MDB continues to tell a story of subscription-led growth, strong operating leverage, and a data layer that’s increasingly embedded in the AI stack. For investors watching the EPS consensus, revenue forecast, and the durability of non-GAAP margins, the quarter offers both reassurance and a prompt to watch how AI features translate into longer-run revenue elasticity and customer stickiness.

Sources: MongoDB, Inc. Q4 2026 press release (Exhibit 99.1). For investors, this remains a case study in how cloud-native data platforms balance growth, profitability, and strategic product positioning in a fast-evolving tech landscape.