MCD

MCDONALDS CORP

Consumer Cyclical | Mega Cap

$2.79

EPS Forecast

$6,601

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.79

Revenue Forecast:

$6,601

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.034

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$116

Post-release price volatility - Low

Post-release Overnight Move:

±3.5%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

67%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

81%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

60%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

11%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

0

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.45

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.25

Revenue standard deviation:

$198

As % of share price:

0.08% LOW

As % of market cap:

0.09% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$3.18

Revenue 95th %ile:

$6,944

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.89

Revenue 75th %ile:

$6,699

EPS 25th %ile:

$2.73

Revenue 25th %ile:

$6,518

EPS 5th %ile:

$2.58

Revenue 5th %ile:

$6,334

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

48% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

43% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$5

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.14