HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC Stock Forecasts | HGV EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.63

Revenue Forecast:

$1,279

EPS Surprise Forecast:

-$0.046

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$17

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.9%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

46%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

39%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

24%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

39%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-4

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.37

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.58

Revenue standard deviation:

$114

As % of share price:

1.39% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

3.37% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.39

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,427

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.84

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,319

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.47

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,246

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.00

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,155

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

16% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$17

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.07