ERIE

ERIE INDEMNITY CO

Financial Services | Large Cap

$3.42

EPS Forecast

$1,087

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-12-31

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$3.42

Revenue Forecast:

$1,087

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.009

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$5

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.2%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

54%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

48%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

32%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

31%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-4

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.27

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$1.70

Revenue standard deviation:

$94

As % of share price:

0.75% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.90% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.76

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,217

EPS 75th %ile:

$4.04

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,122

EPS 25th %ile:

$2.96

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,057

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.67

Revenue 5th %ile:

$980

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

40% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

34% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$26

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.6