AJG

ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO

Financial Services | Large Cap

$4.42

EPS Forecast

$4,559

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$4.42

Revenue Forecast:

$4,559

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.059

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$38

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.9%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

63%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

39%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

31%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

29%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-5

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.31

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.63

Revenue standard deviation:

$200

As % of share price:

0.30% HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.37% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.35

Revenue 95th %ile:

$4,866

EPS 75th %ile:

$4.66

Revenue 75th %ile:

$4,644

EPS 25th %ile:

$4.26

Revenue 25th %ile:

$4,486

EPS 5th %ile:

$3.84

Revenue 5th %ile:

$4,313

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

36% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$8

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.17