AAOI

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC

Technology | Mid Cap

-$0.08

EPS Forecast

$157.5

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

-$0.08

Revenue Forecast:

$157.5

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.021

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$1

Post-release price volatility - Very high

Post-release Overnight Move:

±12.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

59%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

57%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

40%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

25%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-5

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

2.00

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.34

Revenue standard deviation:

$18

As % of share price:

0.33% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.23% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.38

Revenue 95th %ile:

$181

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.04

Revenue 75th %ile:

$164

EPS 25th %ile:

-$0.18

Revenue 25th %ile:

$152

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.44

Revenue 5th %ile:

$138

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

64% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$19

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.2