AAL

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

Industrials | Mid Cap

-$0.30

EPS Forecast

$13,597

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

-$0.30

Revenue Forecast:

$13,597

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.037

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$44

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±9.5%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

61%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

47%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

33%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

25%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-5

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.41

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.40

Revenue standard deviation:

$742

As % of share price:

3.71% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

10.40% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.24

Revenue 95th %ile:

$14,598

EPS 75th %ile:

-$0.15

Revenue 75th %ile:

$13,868

EPS 25th %ile:

-$0.41

Revenue 25th %ile:

$13,367

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.72

Revenue 5th %ile:

$12,768

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

31% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

11% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$3

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.01