MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE CORP Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.80

Revenue Forecast:

$1,204

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.233

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.8%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

79%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

57%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

49%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

14%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.21

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.67

Revenue standard deviation:

$61

As % of share price:

0.94% HIGH

As % of market cap:

2.48% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.66

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,281

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.03

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,224

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.61

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,186

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.06

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,139

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

15% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$22

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.16