UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC Stock Forecasts | UPS EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.21

Revenue Forecast:

$21,257

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.083

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$133

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.2%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

83%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

72%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

64%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.48

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.21

Revenue standard deviation:

$413

As % of share price:

0.22% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.50% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.52

Revenue 95th %ile:

$21,913

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.29

Revenue 75th %ile:

$21,441

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.16

Revenue 25th %ile:

$21,100

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.02

Revenue 5th %ile:

$20,736

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

42% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

18% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.04