ULTA

ULTA BEAUTY INC

Consumer Cyclical | Large Cap

$8.54

EPS Forecast

$3,932

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-04-30

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$8.54

Revenue Forecast:

$3,932

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.577

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$119

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±6.6%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

82%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

93%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

79%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

3%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.53

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$1.46

Revenue standard deviation:

$119

As % of share price:

0.21% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.39% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$10.63

Revenue 95th %ile:

$4,108

EPS 75th %ile:

$9.09

Revenue 75th %ile:

$3,981

EPS 25th %ile:

$8.16

Revenue 25th %ile:

$3,890

EPS 5th %ile:

$7.15

Revenue 5th %ile:

$3,789

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

45% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

25% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$17

Bid-ask per Share:

$1.2