HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC Stock Forecasts | THG EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$4.74

Revenue Forecast:

$1,710

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.408

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$10

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

85%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

40%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

37%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

12%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.25

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.81

Revenue standard deviation:

$71

As % of share price:

0.48% HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.19% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.83

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,805

EPS 75th %ile:

$5.03

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,736

EPS 25th %ile:

$4.52

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,689

EPS 5th %ile:

$3.88

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,631

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

41% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

16% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$15

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.26