MICROSOFT CORP Stock Forecasts | MSFT EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$4.29

Revenue Forecast:

$83,340

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.246

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$1,944

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

90%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

80%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

75%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-2

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.81

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.58

Revenue standard deviation:

$2,538

As % of share price:

0.15% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.09% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$5.31

Revenue 95th %ile:

$89,326

EPS 75th %ile:

$4.55

Revenue 75th %ile:

$85,131

EPS 25th %ile:

$4.17

Revenue 25th %ile:

$81,817

EPS 5th %ile:

$3.95

Revenue 5th %ile:

$78,965

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

47% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

80% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.06