MEDIAALPHA INC Stock Forecasts | MAX EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.28

Revenue Forecast:

$294.5

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.015

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

-$2

Post-release price volatility - Very high

Post-release Overnight Move:

±10.4%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

58%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

43%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

30%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

29%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-4

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.55

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.19

Revenue standard deviation:

$22

As % of share price:

1.97% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

3.48% HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.52

Revenue 95th %ile:

$320

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.35

Revenue 75th %ile:

$301

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.23

Revenue 25th %ile:

$289

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.06

Revenue 5th %ile:

$272

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

35% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

20% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$40

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.04