INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$2.03

Revenue Forecast:

$15,784

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.254

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$220

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±5.9%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

94%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

84%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

81%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.47

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.34

Revenue standard deviation:

$325

As % of share price:

0.13% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.14% LOW

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.56

Revenue 95th %ile:

$16,349

EPS 75th %ile:

$2.17

Revenue 75th %ile:

$15,945

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.95

Revenue 25th %ile:

$15,647

EPS 5th %ile:

$1.76

Revenue 5th %ile:

$15,345

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

46% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

44% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.14