FARMERS & MERCHANTS BANCORP INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.71

Revenue Forecast:

$32.68

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.035

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.6%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

69%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

65%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

51%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

16%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.87

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.16

Revenue standard deviation:

As % of share price:

0.65% MEDIUM

As % of market cap:

0.73% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.91

Revenue 95th %ile:

$36

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.77

Revenue 75th %ile:

$33

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.67

Revenue 25th %ile:

$32

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.52

Revenue 5th %ile:

$30

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

40% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

36% HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$70

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.18