CVNA

CARVANA CO

Consumer Cyclical | Large Cap

$1.58

EPS Forecast

$6,257

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-08-16

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.58

Revenue Forecast:

$6,257

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.156

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$137

Post-release price volatility - Very high

Post-release Overnight Move:

±10.5%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

69%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

86%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

63%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

8%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.77

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.91

Revenue standard deviation:

$209

As % of share price:

0.31% HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.32% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.93

Revenue 95th %ile:

$6,583

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.93

Revenue 75th %ile:

$6,348

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.35

Revenue 25th %ile:

$6,180

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.76

Revenue 5th %ile:

$5,997

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

42% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$12

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.34