ARDX

ARDELYX INC

Healthcare | Small Cap

-$0.12

EPS Forecast

$96.81

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

-$0.12

Revenue Forecast:

$96.81

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.005

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$4

Post-release price volatility - Very high

Post-release Overnight Move:

±10.3%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

58%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

79%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

51%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

13%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.10

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.07

Revenue standard deviation:

$10

As % of share price:

1.20% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

0.76% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

-$0.04

Revenue 95th %ile:

$110

EPS 75th %ile:

-$0.10

Revenue 75th %ile:

$100

EPS 25th %ile:

-$0.14

Revenue 25th %ile:

$94

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.19

Revenue 5th %ile:

$86

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

61% VERY HIGH

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$17

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.01