ALIGNMENT HEALTHCARE INC Stock Forecasts | ALHC EPS & Price Predictions

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.06

Revenue Forecast:

$1,226

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.038

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±9.5%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

78%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

71%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

59%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

11%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

-1

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

0.97

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.12

Revenue standard deviation:

$40

As % of share price:

0.65% HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.08% MEDIUM

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$0.22

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,278

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.10

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,240

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.03

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,214

EPS 5th %ile:

-$0.07

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,182

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

40% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

24% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$15

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.025