AER

AERCAP HOLDINGS NV

Industrials | Large Cap

$3.95

EPS Forecast

$2,108

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-01

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$3.95

Revenue Forecast:

$2,108

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.362

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$121

Post-release price volatility - Medium

Post-release Overnight Move:

±4.8%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

90%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

82%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

76%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

4%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

3

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.01

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.59

Revenue standard deviation:

$242

As % of share price:

0.44% VERY HIGH

As % of market cap:

1.09% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$4.78

Revenue 95th %ile:

$2,458

EPS 75th %ile:

$4.17

Revenue 75th %ile:

$2,204

EPS 25th %ile:

$3.80

Revenue 25th %ile:

$2,026

EPS 5th %ile:

$3.38

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,823

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

44% HIGH

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

18% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$11

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.15