AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC Stock Forecasts

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$0.77

Revenue Forecast:

$1,766

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.061

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$35

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±9.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

75%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

73%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

59%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

11%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.39

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.22

Revenue standard deviation:

$132

As % of share price:

0.91% HIGH

As % of market cap:

3.30% VERY HIGH

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$1.05

Revenue 95th %ile:

$1,939

EPS 75th %ile:

$0.85

Revenue 75th %ile:

$1,813

EPS 25th %ile:

$0.71

Revenue 25th %ile:

$1,727

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.54

Revenue 5th %ile:

$1,623

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

39% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

11% LOW

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.02