AA

ALCOA CORP

Basic Materials | Large Cap

$1.56

EPS Forecast

$3,491

Revenue Forecast

Announcing earnings for the quarter ending 2026-03-31 soon

Proximilar's AI forecasts

EPS Forecast:

$1.56

Revenue Forecast:

$3,491

EPS Surprise Forecast:

$0.275

Revenue Surprise Forecast:

$77

Post-release price volatility - High

Post-release Overnight Move:

±7.1%

Post-release 1-week Move:

±

Odds of beating consensus

Probability of beating EPS consensus:

83%

Probability of beating revenue consensus:

69%

Probability of beating both EPS & revs consensus:

61%

Probability of missing both EPS & revs consensus:

9%

Surprise rating (from -5 to 5)

How unusually large is the +/- surprise we forecast:

0

Beta (β)

Forward Looking Beta (β):

1.65

Earnings volatility

EPS standard deviation:

$0.64

Revenue standard deviation:

$332

As % of share price:

1.10% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

As % of market cap:

2.14% EXTREME UNCERTAINTY

Confidence intervals and percentiles

EPS 95th %ile:

$2.46

Revenue 95th %ile:

$3,959

EPS 75th %ile:

$1.80

Revenue 75th %ile:

$3,619

EPS 25th %ile:

$1.39

Revenue 25th %ile:

$3,381

EPS 5th %ile:

$0.92

Revenue 5th %ile:

$3,107

Correlation of surprises (strength of relationship)

Correlation between EPS & revenue surprises:

40% MEDIUM

Earnings sensitivity to revenue surprises (slope of regression line)

Expected % of revenue surprise going to EPS:

20% MEDIUM

Stock's bid-ask spread

Bid-ask per $10K:

$7

Bid-ask per Share:

$0.04